Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.004092 0.004302 0.004517 0.004754 0.005008 0.005273 0.005571
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003677 0.003984 0.004313 0.004691 0.005116 0.005580 0.006128
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003492 0.003864 0.004274 0.004760 0.005324 0.005963 0.006746
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003315 0.003729 0.004194 0.004760 0.005435 0.006221 0.007215
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003152 0.003594 0.004099 0.004727 0.005492 0.006406 0.007595
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002987 0.003444 0.003975 0.004645 0.005480 0.006497 0.007853
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002851 0.003320 0.003873 0.004582 0.005479 0.006595 0.008118
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002764 0.003249 0.003829 0.004585 0.005558 0.006793 0.008516
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002609 0.003089 0.003668 0.004431 0.005427 0.006709 0.008529
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002543 0.003036 0.003638 0.004441 0.005505 0.006900 0.008921
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002526 0.003042 0.003681 0.004545 0.005710 0.007266 0.009576
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002441 0.002959 0.003605 0.004490 0.005697 0.007334 0.009806
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002366 0.002886 0.003542 0.004450 0.005704 0.007430 0.010086
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002288 0.002808 0.003469 0.004393 0.005685 0.007488 0.010312
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002263 0.002797 0.003484 0.004455 0.005834 0.007793 0.010928
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002215 0.002755 0.003455 0.004455 0.005893 0.007967 0.011350
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002159 0.002700 0.003406 0.004425 0.005906 0.008071 0.011665
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002089 0.002625 0.003328 0.004350 0.005851 0.008069 0.011805
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002030 0.002561 0.003263 0.004292 0.005817 0.008096 0.011992
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001994 0.002529 0.003242 0.004295 0.005873 0.008265 0.012426
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001911 0.002430 0.003124 0.004154 0.005707 0.008077 0.012238
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001882 0.002405 0.003109 0.004163 0.005769 0.008252 0.012689
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001883 0.002421 0.003152 0.004258 0.005966 0.008653 0.013565